Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Data Sinergitama Jaya Tbk (ELIT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$130.46 - $199.03$162.57
Multi-Stage$275.19 - $302.95$288.80
Blended Fair Value$225.68
Current Price$190.00
Upside18.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%5.023.520.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--42.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.84%3.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,688.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,099.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,588.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,937.683,711.052,226.63
Cash Retained (M)19,588.6119,588.6119,588.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,937.68-3,711.05-2,226.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,650.9315,877.5617,361.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,021.722,021.722,021.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.757.858.59
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.757.858.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.7512.8513.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$130.46$162.57$199.03
Upside / Downside-31.34%-14.44%4.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,688.4129,391.5229,097.6128,806.6328,518.5728,233.3829,080.38
Payout Ratio34.02%45.22%56.41%67.61%78.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,099.8013,289.5216,414.4319,475.5122,473.7325,410.0426,899.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12,314.8112,440.4712,566.13
Year 2 PV (M)14,094.9214,384.0414,676.10
Year 3 PV (M)15,496.8815,976.1316,465.16
Year 4 PV (M)16,571.0117,257.8017,965.73
Year 5 PV (M)17,361.9218,265.9919,207.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)480,524.97505,547.02531,600.75
Equity Value (M)556,364.52583,871.46612,481.21
Shares Outstanding (M)2,021.722,021.722,021.72
Fair Value$275.19$288.80$302.95
Upside / Downside44.84%52.00%59.45%

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