Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Delek Automotive Systems Ltd. (DLEA.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.76 - $427.47$146.99
Multi-Stage$70.55 - $77.23$73.83
Blended Fair Value$110.41
Current Price$24.40
Upside352.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.003.009.577.340.961.441.734.372.839.31
YoY Growth---100.00%-68.69%30.28%665.27%-33.33%-16.67%-60.44%54.24%-69.59%177.14%
Dividend Yield--0.00%13.36%28.64%14.91%2.35%10.34%11.75%16.46%8.56%25.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)212.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)193.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.4726.5415.93
Cash Retained (M)18.4018.4018.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.47-26.54-15.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)-24.07-8.152.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.1197.1197.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.25-0.080.03
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.25-0.080.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.912.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.04%6.04%6.04%
Growth Rate3.67%4.67%5.67%
Fair Value$76.76$146.99$427.47
Upside / Downside214.61%502.41%1,651.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)212.35222.27232.66243.54254.92266.84274.84
Payout Ratio91.34%91.07%90.80%90.53%90.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)193.95202.42211.26220.49230.11240.15254.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.04%6.04%6.04%
Growth Rate3.67%4.67%5.67%
Year 1 PV (M)189.08190.90192.72
Year 2 PV (M)184.32187.89191.50
Year 3 PV (M)179.68184.93190.28
Year 4 PV (M)175.16182.02189.07
Year 5 PV (M)170.75179.15187.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,952.336,244.996,549.06
Equity Value (M)6,851.337,169.887,500.50
Shares Outstanding (M)97.1197.1197.11
Fair Value$70.55$73.83$77.23
Upside / Downside189.14%202.58%216.53%

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