Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CTP N.V. (CTPNV.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.22 - $37.81$30.49
Multi-Stage$56.21 - $61.98$59.04
Blended Fair Value$44.76
Current Price$18.96
Upside136.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.320.340.260.010.000.000.410.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.68%32.26%2,149.23%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.92%2.10%2.18%0.08%0.00%0.00%2.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,207.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)154.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,052.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)241.44150.9090.54
Cash Retained (M)1,052.301,052.301,052.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-241.44-150.90-90.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)810.86901.40961.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)476.75476.75476.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.701.892.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.701.892.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.032.222.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$24.22$30.49$37.81
Upside / Downside27.77%60.79%99.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,207.201,195.131,183.181,171.341,159.631,148.041,182.48
Payout Ratio12.83%28.27%43.70%59.13%74.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)154.90337.80517.03692.65864.691,033.231,093.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)314.88318.10321.31
Year 2 PV (M)449.25458.47467.78
Year 3 PV (M)561.01578.36596.06
Year 4 PV (M)652.84679.90707.79
Year 5 PV (M)727.16765.03804.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,092.7225,347.2926,653.58
Equity Value (M)26,797.8828,147.1429,550.97
Shares Outstanding (M)476.75476.75476.75
Fair Value$56.21$59.04$61.98
Upside / Downside196.46%211.39%226.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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