Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Computer Direct Group Ltd. (CMDR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.35 - $237.35$132.38
Multi-Stage$60.16 - $65.60$62.83
Blended Fair Value$97.61
Current Price$86.80
Upside12.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.43%17.99%1.951.621.441.160.580.740.610.600.610.56
YoY Growth--20.44%12.24%24.42%100.44%-21.69%20.83%1.05%-1.14%8.38%51.48%
Dividend Yield--2.84%2.87%3.94%2.08%1.33%3.15%4.10%4.38%4.71%4.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)251.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)157.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.3831.4918.89
Cash Retained (M)94.8194.8194.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.38-31.49-18.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.4363.3275.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.7971.7971.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.881.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.192.192.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.881.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.813.073.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$85.35$132.38$237.35
Upside / Downside-1.67%52.52%173.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)251.92268.30285.74304.31324.09345.15355.51
Payout Ratio62.36%67.89%73.42%78.95%84.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)157.11182.15209.78240.24273.77310.64328.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)165.59167.16168.73
Year 2 PV (M)173.37176.67180.00
Year 3 PV (M)180.48185.66190.94
Year 4 PV (M)186.97194.16201.55
Year 5 PV (M)192.86202.17211.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,419.693,584.863,756.36
Equity Value (M)4,318.944,510.674,709.42
Shares Outstanding (M)71.7971.7971.79
Fair Value$60.16$62.83$65.60
Upside / Downside-30.69%-27.61%-24.42%

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