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Cellularline S.p.A. (CELL.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.46 - $3.82$3.09
Multi-Stage$5.60 - $6.17$5.88
Blended Fair Value$4.48
Current Price$2.79
Upside60.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.42%0.00%0.090.000.050.000.310.290.002.830.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%8.61%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.49%0.00%1.64%0.00%7.65%7.35%0.00%29.91%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.120.700.42
Cash Retained (M)3.653.653.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.12-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.532.953.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.2321.2321.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.46$3.09$3.82
Upside / Downside-11.73%10.73%36.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.595.545.485.435.375.325.48
Payout Ratio34.70%45.76%56.82%67.88%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.942.533.123.684.244.795.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.362.382.41
Year 2 PV (M)2.702.752.81
Year 3 PV (M)2.973.063.15
Year 4 PV (M)3.183.313.45
Year 5 PV (M)3.343.513.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)104.32109.75115.41
Equity Value (M)118.86124.77130.92
Shares Outstanding (M)21.2321.2321.23
Fair Value$5.60$5.88$6.17
Upside / Downside100.68%110.66%121.04%

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