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Bangkok Genomics Innovation Public Company Limited (BKGI.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.44 - $0.66$0.54
Multi-Stage$0.90 - $0.99$0.95
Blended Fair Value$0.75
Current Price$1.58
Upside-52.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.070.280.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-73.57%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.37%17.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.333.962.37
Cash Retained (M)3.573.573.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.33-3.96-2.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.76-0.381.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.44$0.54$0.66
Upside / Downside-72.15%-65.56%-58.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.6531.3431.0230.7130.4130.1031.01
Payout Ratio88.71%88.97%89.23%89.48%89.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.0827.8827.6827.4827.2927.0928.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.7025.9626.22
Year 2 PV (M)23.5224.0024.49
Year 3 PV (M)21.5222.1922.87
Year 4 PV (M)19.6920.5121.35
Year 5 PV (M)18.0218.9619.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)433.80456.39479.91
Equity Value (M)542.26568.01594.78
Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
Fair Value$0.90$0.95$0.99
Upside / Downside-42.80%-40.08%-37.26%

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