Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Azorim-Investment, Development & Construction Co. Ltd (AZRM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.72 - $122.21$71.09
Multi-Stage$15.06 - $16.48$15.76
Blended Fair Value$43.42
Current Price$20.21
Upside114.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.190.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%2.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)131.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.2316.399.84
Cash Retained (M)91.1691.1691.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.23-16.39-9.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.9274.7681.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)213.03213.03213.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.30%6.30%7.30%
Fair Value$28.72$71.09$122.21
Upside / Downside42.13%251.76%504.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)131.16139.41148.19157.52167.44177.99183.33
Payout Ratio30.50%42.40%54.30%66.20%78.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.0059.1180.47104.28130.77160.19169.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.30%6.30%7.30%
Year 1 PV (M)54.6755.1955.71
Year 2 PV (M)68.8470.1571.48
Year 3 PV (M)82.5184.8887.30
Year 4 PV (M)95.7099.39103.18
Year 5 PV (M)108.42113.67119.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,797.922,933.323,073.92
Equity Value (M)3,208.053,356.603,510.70
Shares Outstanding (M)213.03213.03213.03
Fair Value$15.06$15.76$16.48
Upside / Downside-25.49%-22.04%-18.46%

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