Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Awardit AB (publ) (AWRD.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.09 - $38.38$31.30
Multi-Stage$55.94 - $61.45$58.64
Blended Fair Value$44.97
Current Price$126.00
Upside-64.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.02%0.00%2.302.250.001.300.431.641.271.251.100.92
YoY Growth--2.22%0.00%-100.00%199.97%-73.48%29.10%1.50%14.00%18.75%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.67%0.00%0.52%0.40%2.78%1.81%2.88%2.87%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.843.031.82
Cash Retained (M)4.304.304.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.84-3.03-1.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.551.272.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.668.668.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.150.29
LTM Dividend per Share2.302.302.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.150.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$25.09$31.30$38.38
Upside / Downside-80.09%-75.16%-69.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.2223.9723.7323.5023.2623.0323.72
Payout Ratio82.26%83.81%85.36%86.90%88.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9220.0920.2620.4220.5820.7321.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.6318.8219.01
Year 2 PV (M)17.4217.7818.14
Year 3 PV (M)16.2916.7917.31
Year 4 PV (M)15.2215.8516.50
Year 5 PV (M)14.2214.9615.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)402.71423.68445.51
Equity Value (M)484.50507.89532.21
Shares Outstanding (M)8.668.668.66
Fair Value$55.94$58.64$61.45
Upside / Downside-55.60%-53.46%-51.23%

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