Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mordechai Aviv Taasiot Beniyah (1973) Ltd. (AVIV.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154.44 - $244.83$229.44
Multi-Stage$40.10 - $43.90$41.97
Blended Fair Value$135.70
Current Price$20.21
Upside571.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.44%0.00%0.530.130.000.140.140.220.160.490.000.00
YoY Growth--311.76%0.00%-100.00%5.56%-37.50%33.64%-66.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.97%0.85%0.00%0.69%0.64%1.69%1.26%4.31%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.262.041.22
Cash Retained (M)9.319.319.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.26-2.04-1.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.057.278.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.2513.2513.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.550.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.550.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$154.44$229.44$244.83
Upside / Downside664.20%1,035.27%1,111.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.3117.3718.5019.7020.9822.3423.02
Payout Ratio42.92%52.34%61.75%71.17%80.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.009.0911.4214.0216.9120.1121.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.488.568.64
Year 2 PV (M)9.9410.1310.32
Year 3 PV (M)11.3911.7112.05
Year 4 PV (M)12.8113.3113.81
Year 5 PV (M)14.2214.9115.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)474.43497.34521.13
Equity Value (M)531.27555.96581.58
Shares Outstanding (M)13.2513.2513.25
Fair Value$40.10$41.97$43.90
Upside / Downside98.43%107.65%117.22%

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