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Definitive Analysis

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Avax S.A. (AVAX.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.01 - $80.20$75.12
Multi-Stage$41.96 - $46.28$44.08
Blended Fair Value$59.60
Current Price$2.13
Upside2,698.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%110.31%0.030.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-93.94%1,202.05%-62.86%
Dividend Yield--1.99%3.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.497.804.68
Cash Retained (M)57.9857.9857.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.49-7.80-4.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.4950.1753.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.34147.34147.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$68.01$75.12$80.20
Upside / Downside3,092.76%3,426.90%3,665.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.4363.2564.0864.9365.7866.6568.65
Payout Ratio7.13%23.70%40.28%56.85%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.4514.9925.8136.9148.3059.9863.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)14.8214.9715.12
Year 2 PV (M)25.2425.7426.25
Year 3 PV (M)35.6936.7737.87
Year 4 PV (M)46.1848.0549.98
Year 5 PV (M)56.7159.6062.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,003.866,309.136,626.69
Equity Value (M)6,182.516,494.276,818.51
Shares Outstanding (M)147.34147.34147.34
Fair Value$41.96$44.08$46.28
Upside / Downside1,870.01%1,969.35%2,072.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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