Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Analyst I.M.S. Investment Management Services Ltd (ANLT.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$169.75 - $362.86$241.66
Multi-Stage$123.02 - $134.40$128.61
Blended Fair Value$185.13
Current Price$130.00
Upside42.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.02%-0.25%0.990.450.451.540.001.500.000.491.200.88
YoY Growth--121.78%0.08%-71.12%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-59.58%37.09%-13.48%
Dividend Yield--1.08%1.16%1.75%4.06%0.00%9.96%0.00%1.83%5.08%5.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)105.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)90.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.0513.167.89
Cash Retained (M)90.0790.0790.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.05-13.16-7.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.0276.9282.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.7411.7411.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.886.557.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.291.291.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.886.557.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.177.848.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$169.75$241.66$362.86
Upside / Downside30.58%85.89%179.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)105.26112.10119.39127.15135.41144.21148.54
Payout Ratio14.43%29.54%44.66%59.77%74.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.1833.1153.3175.99101.40129.79137.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.8330.1230.40
Year 2 PV (M)43.2744.0944.93
Year 3 PV (M)55.5757.1658.79
Year 4 PV (M)66.8069.3772.01
Year 5 PV (M)77.0380.7584.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,172.291,228.911,287.70
Equity Value (M)1,444.791,510.411,578.44
Shares Outstanding (M)11.7411.7411.74
Fair Value$123.02$128.61$134.40
Upside / Downside-5.37%-1.07%3.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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