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Definitive Analysis

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AVI Japan Opportunity Trust PLC (AJOT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.03 - $4.32$3.67
Multi-Stage$4.54 - $4.99$4.76
Blended Fair Value$4.21
Current Price$1.52
Upside177.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.020.010.010.010.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.14%16.45%11.37%-0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.22%1.30%1.27%1.05%1.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)60.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.577.864.71
Cash Retained (M)60.5560.5560.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.57-7.86-4.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.9852.6955.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)140.05140.05140.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.380.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.380.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.03$3.67$4.32
Upside / Downside99.54%141.26%184.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.8662.2461.6161.0060.3959.7861.58
Payout Ratio3.68%20.95%38.21%55.47%72.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.3213.0423.5433.8443.9253.8056.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.7711.8912.01
Year 2 PV (M)19.2019.6020.00
Year 3 PV (M)24.9325.7026.49
Year 4 PV (M)29.2330.4431.69
Year 5 PV (M)32.3334.0235.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)518.37545.36573.47
Equity Value (M)635.84667.01699.42
Shares Outstanding (M)140.05140.05140.05
Fair Value$4.54$4.76$4.99
Upside / Downside198.69%213.34%228.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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