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AAPICO Hitech Public Company Limited (AH-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$180.14 - $441.31$413.57
Multi-Stage$64.20 - $70.27$67.18
Blended Fair Value$240.38
Current Price$13.90
Upside1,629.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.72%14.92%1.311.751.110.640.000.901.220.880.500.19
YoY Growth---25.14%58.12%73.03%0.00%-100.00%-26.15%39.85%73.63%162.72%-41.18%
Dividend Yield--10.49%7.93%3.63%2.58%0.00%13.81%6.94%2.71%3.15%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)745.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)265.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)480.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.1593.2255.93
Cash Retained (M)480.25480.25480.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.15-93.22-55.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.10387.03424.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)336.08336.08336.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.991.151.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.991.151.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.781.942.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$180.14$413.57$441.31
Upside / Downside1,195.97%2,875.33%3,074.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)745.76794.24845.86900.84959.401,021.761,052.41
Payout Ratio35.60%46.48%57.36%68.24%79.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)265.51369.18485.20614.74759.08919.58973.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)343.26346.52349.77
Year 2 PV (M)419.47427.46435.53
Year 3 PV (M)494.16508.35522.80
Year 4 PV (M)567.35589.17611.61
Year 5 PV (M)639.07669.94701.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,112.6620,035.8120,994.29
Equity Value (M)21,575.9822,577.2423,615.99
Shares Outstanding (M)336.08336.08336.08
Fair Value$64.20$67.18$70.27
Upside / Downside361.87%383.30%405.54%

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