Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Aussie Broadband Limited (ABB.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.91 - $2.92$2.38
Multi-Stage$4.15 - $4.57$4.35
Blended Fair Value$3.37
Current Price$3.91
Upside-13.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.847.404.44
Cash Retained (M)35.6335.6335.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.84-7.40-4.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.7928.2331.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)281.13281.13281.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.91$2.38$2.92
Upside / Downside-51.24%-39.09%-25.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.2158.6258.0457.4656.8856.3158.00
Payout Ratio39.83%49.86%59.90%69.93%79.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.5929.2334.7640.1845.4950.6853.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)27.1327.4127.68
Year 2 PV (M)29.9430.5631.18
Year 3 PV (M)32.1233.1134.13
Year 4 PV (M)33.7435.1436.58
Year 5 PV (M)34.8936.7138.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,008.821,061.361,116.05
Equity Value (M)1,166.651,224.281,284.22
Shares Outstanding (M)281.13281.13281.13
Fair Value$4.15$4.35$4.57
Upside / Downside6.13%11.38%16.83%

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