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Definitive Analysis

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Genki Global Dining Concepts Corp (9828.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,446.11 - $53,902.25$50,514.30
Multi-Stage$7,350.38 - $8,046.69$7,692.14
Blended Fair Value$29,103.22
Current Price$4,215.00
Upside590.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.76%34.92%79.9615.007.507.502.5015.0010.506.507.505.00
YoY Growth--433.14%100.01%0.00%200.00%-83.33%42.85%61.53%-13.34%49.99%24.99%
Dividend Yield--1.90%0.45%0.45%0.59%0.20%1.30%0.66%0.37%0.66%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,786.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,236.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,550.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)957.20598.25358.95
Cash Retained (M)3,550.003,550.003,550.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-957.20-598.25-358.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,592.802,951.753,191.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.6617.6617.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share146.83167.16180.71
LTM Dividend per Share70.0070.0070.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share146.83167.16180.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend216.83237.16250.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18,446.11$50,514.30$53,902.25
Upside / Downside337.63%1,098.44%1,178.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,786.005,097.095,428.405,781.256,157.036,557.236,753.95
Payout Ratio25.83%38.66%51.50%64.33%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,236.001,970.552,795.373,719.084,751.075,901.516,247.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,828.781,846.121,863.45
Year 2 PV (M)2,407.632,453.482,499.78
Year 3 PV (M)2,972.773,058.113,145.06
Year 4 PV (M)3,524.463,660.003,799.41
Year 5 PV (M)4,062.934,259.174,462.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)114,997.85120,552.29126,319.31
Equity Value (M)129,794.42135,829.17142,089.94
Shares Outstanding (M)17.6617.6617.66
Fair Value$7,350.38$7,692.14$8,046.69
Upside / Downside74.39%82.49%90.91%

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