Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Ratio Speciality Company for Trading (9630.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.36 - $9.73$7.93
Multi-Stage$13.36 - $14.72$14.03
Blended Fair Value$10.98
Current Price$9.16
Upside19.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.200.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.841.771.06
Cash Retained (M)12.1812.1812.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.84-1.77-1.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.3410.4111.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.0020.0020.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.520.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.520.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.570.620.66
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.36$7.93$9.73
Upside / Downside-30.58%-13.38%6.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.1814.0413.9013.7613.6213.4813.89
Payout Ratio14.11%29.28%44.46%59.64%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.004.116.188.2110.1912.1412.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.813.853.89
Year 2 PV (M)5.315.425.53
Year 3 PV (M)6.546.756.95
Year 4 PV (M)7.547.858.17
Year 5 PV (M)8.328.769.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)235.63247.90260.68
Equity Value (M)267.17280.53294.44
Shares Outstanding (M)20.0020.0020.00
Fair Value$13.36$14.03$14.72
Upside / Downside45.83%53.13%60.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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