Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Iino Kaiun Kaisha, Ltd. (9119.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,782.99 - $27,988.28$26,229.12
Multi-Stage$4,042.08 - $4,428.22$4,231.59
Blended Fair Value$15,230.35
Current Price$1,012.00
Upside1,404.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS30.12%18.25%55.9262.9151.9126.9612.9614.999.9910.4710.4910.47
YoY Growth---11.12%21.19%92.57%108.02%-13.56%50.05%-4.60%-0.18%0.18%0.09%
Dividend Yield--5.53%4.76%6.13%3.94%2.96%4.41%2.71%2.08%2.18%2.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,890.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,640.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,250.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,978.001,861.251,116.75
Cash Retained (M)13,250.0013,250.0013,250.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,978.00-1,861.25-1,116.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,272.0011,388.7512,133.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)105.80105.80105.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share97.09107.64114.68
LTM Dividend per Share15.5015.5015.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share97.09107.64114.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend112.59123.14130.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11,782.99$26,229.12$27,988.28
Upside / Downside1,064.33%2,491.81%2,665.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,890.0015,857.8516,888.6117,986.3719,155.4820,400.5921,012.61
Payout Ratio11.01%26.81%42.61%58.41%74.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,640.004,251.697,195.9810,505.0514,213.9118,360.5319,436.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,954.423,991.904,029.38
Year 2 PV (M)6,224.876,343.446,463.13
Year 3 PV (M)8,452.008,694.638,941.85
Year 4 PV (M)10,636.4111,045.4611,466.19
Year 5 PV (M)12,778.7213,395.9414,036.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)385,618.40404,243.91423,582.27
Equity Value (M)427,664.82447,715.27468,519.59
Shares Outstanding (M)105.80105.80105.80
Fair Value$4,042.08$4,231.59$4,428.22
Upside / Downside299.41%318.14%337.57%

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