Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wiselink Co., Ltd. (8932.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.78 - $51.37$42.04
Multi-Stage$41.64 - $45.67$43.61
Blended Fair Value$42.83
Current Price$204.50
Upside-79.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-47.62%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.170.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)656.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)609.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)131.2982.0649.23
Cash Retained (M)609.06609.06609.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-131.29-82.06-49.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)477.77527.00559.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)176.26176.26176.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.712.993.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.712.993.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.983.263.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate0.98%1.98%2.98%
Fair Value$33.78$42.04$51.37
Upside / Downside-83.48%-79.44%-74.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)656.46669.47682.74696.27710.07724.14745.86
Payout Ratio7.22%23.78%40.33%56.89%73.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.40159.18275.37396.10521.50651.73689.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate0.98%1.98%2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)143.44144.86146.28
Year 2 PV (M)223.59228.04232.54
Year 3 PV (M)289.81298.51307.38
Year 4 PV (M)343.83357.66371.89
Year 5 PV (M)387.19406.75427.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,951.196,251.756,564.34
Equity Value (M)7,339.067,687.568,049.50
Shares Outstanding (M)176.26176.26176.26
Fair Value$41.64$43.61$45.67
Upside / Downside-79.64%-78.67%-77.67%

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