Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mani, Inc. (7730.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,291.87 - $3,473.24$1,983.53
Multi-Stage$871.07 - $952.28$910.93
Blended Fair Value$1,447.23
Current Price$1,254.50
Upside15.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.20%16.14%38.9837.0231.9723.9821.9820.9718.0011.6410.689.62
YoY Growth--5.32%15.78%33.32%9.10%4.79%16.53%54.67%8.94%11.02%10.16%
Dividend Yield--3.11%2.15%1.46%1.06%1.32%0.82%0.62%0.65%1.00%1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,367.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)787.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,580.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,073.50670.94402.56
Cash Retained (M)4,580.504,580.504,580.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,073.50-670.94-402.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,507.003,909.564,177.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.5098.5098.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share35.6039.6942.42
LTM Dividend per Share7.997.997.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share35.6039.6942.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend43.5947.6850.41
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,291.87$1,983.53$3,473.24
Upside / Downside2.98%58.11%176.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,367.505,716.396,087.956,483.676,905.117,353.947,574.56
Payout Ratio14.66%29.73%44.80%59.86%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)787.001,699.472,727.243,881.445,174.176,618.557,006.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,543.661,558.291,572.92
Year 2 PV (M)2,250.082,292.942,336.20
Year 3 PV (M)2,908.742,992.233,077.32
Year 4 PV (M)3,521.993,657.443,796.75
Year 5 PV (M)4,092.114,289.764,494.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,483.1874,935.8478,520.65
Equity Value (M)85,799.7589,726.5093,798.81
Shares Outstanding (M)98.5098.5098.50
Fair Value$871.07$910.93$952.28
Upside / Downside-30.56%-27.39%-24.09%

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