Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rix Corporation (7525.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60,609.45 - $71,408.20$66,919.95
Multi-Stage$42,672.06 - $46,839.83$44,717.00
Blended Fair Value$55,818.47
Current Price$3,350.00
Upside1,566.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.90%17.34%124.04154.7790.4955.5645.3870.6958.5736.3730.3435.44
YoY Growth---19.86%71.05%62.87%22.42%-35.81%20.69%61.07%19.86%-14.39%41.32%
Dividend Yield--4.07%5.18%2.79%2.87%2.91%4.34%3.92%1.94%1.62%2.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,905.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)287.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,618.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)581.15363.22217.93
Cash Retained (M)2,618.162,618.162,618.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-581.15-363.22-217.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,037.012,254.952,400.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.098.098.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share251.71278.64296.60
LTM Dividend per Share35.5435.5435.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share251.71278.64296.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend287.25314.18332.13
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60,609.45$66,919.95$71,408.20
Upside / Downside1,709.24%1,897.61%2,031.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,905.743,094.623,295.773,509.993,738.143,981.124,100.55
Payout Ratio9.90%25.92%41.94%57.96%73.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)287.58802.051,382.182,034.352,765.453,583.013,793.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)782.68790.10797.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,316.231,341.301,366.61
Year 3 PV (M)1,890.491,944.762,000.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,507.842,604.282,703.48
Year 5 PV (M)3,170.773,323.923,482.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)335,661.00351,873.56368,706.60
Equity Value (M)345,329.02361,877.92379,057.20
Shares Outstanding (M)8.098.098.09
Fair Value$42,672.06$44,717.00$46,839.83
Upside / Downside1,173.79%1,234.84%1,298.20%

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