Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dialog Group Berhad (7277.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.54 - $0.87$0.69
Multi-Stage$0.98 - $1.08$1.03
Blended Fair Value$0.86
Current Price$1.89
Upside-54.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.23%8.20%0.040.040.030.030.030.030.030.030.020.02
YoY Growth--5.13%14.71%6.25%3.24%-11.37%6.06%15.79%22.59%14.08%9.18%
Dividend Yield--2.17%1.81%1.60%1.61%1.30%0.92%0.97%0.82%1.16%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)292.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)231.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.5736.6121.97
Cash Retained (M)61.5261.5261.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.57-36.61-21.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.9524.9139.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,642.685,642.685,642.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-0.34%0.66%1.66%
Fair Value$0.54$0.69$0.87
Upside / Downside-71.18%-63.34%-53.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)292.87294.82296.78298.75300.73302.73311.81
Payout Ratio78.99%81.19%83.40%85.60%87.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)231.35239.38247.50255.72264.04272.46288.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate-0.34%0.66%1.66%
Year 1 PV (M)220.95223.17225.39
Year 2 PV (M)210.87215.12219.41
Year 3 PV (M)201.10207.22213.45
Year 4 PV (M)191.66199.47207.52
Year 5 PV (M)182.55191.89201.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,533.994,766.065,007.54
Equity Value (M)5,541.125,802.936,074.93
Shares Outstanding (M)5,642.685,642.685,642.68
Fair Value$0.98$1.03$1.08
Upside / Downside-48.04%-45.59%-43.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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