Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sportsfield Co., Ltd. (7080.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$759.48 - $1,155.36$945.22
Multi-Stage$1,557.65 - $1,715.98$1,635.25
Blended Fair Value$1,290.24
Current Price$929.00
Upside38.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%16.420.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)638.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)522.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127.6279.7647.86
Cash Retained (M)522.12522.12522.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-127.62-79.76-47.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)394.49442.35474.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.397.397.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share53.3759.8464.16
LTM Dividend per Share15.6915.6915.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share53.3759.8464.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend69.0675.5479.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$759.48$945.22$1,155.36
Upside / Downside-18.25%1.75%24.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)638.12631.74625.42619.16612.97606.84625.05
Payout Ratio18.18%32.54%46.91%61.27%75.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.00205.58293.37379.37463.63546.16578.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.91%6.91%6.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)190.35192.29194.24
Year 2 PV (M)251.50256.66261.87
Year 3 PV (M)301.13310.45319.95
Year 4 PV (M)340.75354.87369.43
Year 5 PV (M)371.66391.01411.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,058.2110,581.9711,127.31
Equity Value (M)11,513.6112,087.2512,683.96
Shares Outstanding (M)7.397.397.39
Fair Value$1,557.65$1,635.25$1,715.98
Upside / Downside67.67%76.02%84.71%

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