Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mega Union Technology Inc. (6944.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,424.60 - $7,640.83$7,160.57
Multi-Stage$1,011.53 - $1,107.41$1,058.59
Blended Fair Value$4,109.58
Current Price$431.50
Upside852.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS103.37%0.00%6.911.710.320.150.110.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--304.36%439.70%108.98%32.09%-42.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.10%0.34%0.16%0.12%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,738.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)614.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,124.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)547.80342.37205.42
Cash Retained (M)2,124.882,124.882,124.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-547.80-342.37-205.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,577.081,782.501,919.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.2971.2971.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share22.1225.0026.92
LTM Dividend per Share8.618.618.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share22.1225.0026.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend30.7433.6235.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,424.60$7,160.57$7,640.83
Upside / Downside461.90%1,559.46%1,670.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,738.992,917.033,106.633,308.573,523.623,752.663,865.24
Payout Ratio22.42%35.94%49.45%62.97%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)614.111,048.291,536.312,083.352,695.023,377.393,575.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)971.99981.20990.41
Year 2 PV (M)1,320.811,345.961,371.36
Year 3 PV (M)1,660.741,708.411,756.99
Year 4 PV (M)1,991.952,068.562,147.35
Year 5 PV (M)2,314.622,426.412,542.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,852.4866,936.5870,138.71
Equity Value (M)72,112.5875,467.1378,947.32
Shares Outstanding (M)71.2971.2971.29
Fair Value$1,011.53$1,058.59$1,107.41
Upside / Downside134.42%145.33%156.64%

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