DDM Analysis: 688131.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$143.90 - $279.95	$262.35
Multi-Stage	$42.94 - $47.04	$44.95
Blended Fair Value	$153.65
Current Price	$82.60
Upside	86.02%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.39%	63.70%	0.22	0.19	0.22	0.01	0.01	0.11	0.01	0.00	0.03	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	15.38%	-13.40%	2,486.58%	-30.72%	-88.58%	656.16%	296.77%	-88.56%	73.64%	1,033.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.55%	0.76%	0.39%	0.01%	0.01%	0.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.03%	0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	294.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	48.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)	246.33

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.98	36.86	22.12
Cash Retained (M)	246.33	246.33	246.33
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.98	-36.86	-22.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	187.35	209.47	224.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	209.50	209.50	209.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.89	1.00	1.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.23	0.23	0.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.89	1.00	1.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.13	1.23	1.30
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$143.90	$262.35	$279.95
Upside / Downside	74.21%	217.62%	238.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	294.90	314.07	334.48	356.23	379.38	404.04	416.16
Payout Ratio	16.47%	31.18%	45.88%	60.59%	75.29%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	48.57	97.91	153.47	215.83	285.65	363.64	384.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	91.22	92.09	92.95
Year 2 PV (M)	133.21	135.75	138.31
Year 3 PV (M)	174.54	179.55	184.66
Year 4 PV (M)	215.23	223.50	232.02
Year 5 PV (M)	255.26	267.59	280.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,125.53	8,517.99	8,925.48
Equity Value (M)	8,994.99	9,416.48	9,853.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	209.50	209.50	209.50
Fair Value	$42.94	$44.95	$47.04
Upside / Downside	-48.02%	-45.58%	-43.06%

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Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress Co., Ltd. (688131.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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