Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hangzhou IECHO Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (688092.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.76 - $127.50$119.48
Multi-Stage$18.17 - $19.87$19.01
Blended Fair Value$69.25
Current Price$25.33
Upside173.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS35.04%0.00%0.530.170.190.170.120.120.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth--220.00%-13.98%10.38%40.65%5.10%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.41%0.72%0.99%0.84%0.51%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.846.784.07
Cash Retained (M)24.2024.2024.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.84-6.78-4.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.3617.4320.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)84.5484.5484.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.210.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.210.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.560.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.76$119.48$127.50
Upside / Downside84.61%371.71%403.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.2057.7261.4865.4769.7374.2676.49
Payout Ratio55.35%62.28%69.21%76.14%83.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.0035.9542.5549.8557.9266.8370.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)33.3933.7034.02
Year 2 PV (M)36.7037.4038.11
Year 3 PV (M)39.9441.0942.25
Year 4 PV (M)43.1044.7646.46
Year 5 PV (M)46.1948.4250.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,337.071,401.651,468.71
Equity Value (M)1,536.391,607.021,680.29
Shares Outstanding (M)84.5484.5484.54
Fair Value$18.17$19.01$19.87
Upside / Downside-28.26%-24.96%-21.54%

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