Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Beijing Worldia Diamond Tools Co.,Ltd. (688028.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.05 - $68.25$30.40
Multi-Stage$11.53 - $12.60$12.06
Blended Fair Value$21.23
Current Price$49.38
Upside-57.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS41.55%0.00%0.370.220.120.280.490.070.140.090.060.00
YoY Growth--70.82%89.66%-58.79%-43.01%646.99%-52.57%46.90%48.61%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.20%0.48%1.18%2.30%0.20%0.35%0.24%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.8111.767.06
Cash Retained (M)58.1458.1458.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.81-11.76-7.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.3346.3851.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)151.35151.35151.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.310.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.310.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.05$30.40$68.25
Upside / Downside-63.44%-38.45%38.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.07100.19106.70113.64121.02128.89132.76
Payout Ratio38.20%48.56%58.92%69.28%79.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.9348.6562.8778.7396.38116.00122.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)44.4644.8845.30
Year 2 PV (M)52.5053.5054.50
Year 3 PV (M)60.0761.8063.55
Year 4 PV (M)67.2069.7972.45
Year 5 PV (M)73.9177.4881.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,447.471,517.381,589.97
Equity Value (M)1,745.611,824.821,906.97
Shares Outstanding (M)151.35151.35151.35
Fair Value$11.53$12.06$12.60
Upside / Downside-76.64%-75.58%-74.48%

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