Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yankey Engineering Co., Ltd. (6691.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,089.26 - $4,530.12$4,245.39
Multi-Stage$695.27 - $760.41$727.25
Blended Fair Value$2,486.32
Current Price$442.50
Upside461.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS42.90%0.00%11.9211.008.112.213.502.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.37%35.71%267.50%-37.00%75.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.51%3.91%5.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,671.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,677.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)993.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)534.36333.98200.39
Cash Retained (M)993.95993.95993.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-534.36-333.98-200.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)459.58659.97793.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)117.29117.29117.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.925.636.77
LTM Dividend per Share14.3014.3014.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.925.636.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.2219.9321.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,089.26$4,245.39$4,530.12
Upside / Downside372.15%859.41%923.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,671.822,845.493,030.453,227.433,437.213,660.633,770.45
Payout Ratio62.80%68.24%73.68%79.12%84.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,677.871,941.742,232.812,553.522,906.503,294.563,487.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,807.461,824.591,841.73
Year 2 PV (M)1,934.681,971.532,008.73
Year 3 PV (M)2,059.572,118.692,178.94
Year 4 PV (M)2,182.152,266.072,352.39
Year 5 PV (M)2,302.462,413.672,529.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,265.2174,707.3478,281.22
Equity Value (M)81,551.5385,301.9089,192.13
Shares Outstanding (M)117.29117.29117.29
Fair Value$695.27$727.25$760.41
Upside / Downside57.12%64.35%71.84%

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