Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ventec International Group Co.,Ltd. (6672.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.29 - $39.68$33.96
Multi-Stage$42.63 - $46.93$44.74
Blended Fair Value$39.35
Current Price$95.60
Upside-58.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.21%0.00%3.323.566.533.174.903.280.810.210.000.00
YoY Growth---6.94%-45.46%105.95%-35.28%49.38%303.47%291.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.54%3.87%7.68%2.83%5.25%4.38%0.88%0.28%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)329.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)328.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.9841.2424.74
Cash Retained (M)328.32328.32328.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.98-41.24-24.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)262.34287.08303.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.0672.0672.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.643.984.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.643.984.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.664.014.23
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.73%-1.73%-0.73%
Fair Value$28.29$33.96$39.68
Upside / Downside-70.41%-64.48%-58.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)329.92324.20318.59313.06307.64302.31311.38
Payout Ratio0.49%18.39%36.29%54.19%72.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.6059.62115.62169.66221.80272.08288.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.73%-1.73%-0.73%
Year 1 PV (M)53.7154.2754.82
Year 2 PV (M)93.8695.8097.76
Year 3 PV (M)124.09127.96131.91
Year 4 PV (M)146.16152.27158.56
Year 5 PV (M)161.54170.02178.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,492.922,623.732,759.97
Equity Value (M)3,072.293,224.043,381.86
Shares Outstanding (M)72.0672.0672.06
Fair Value$42.63$44.74$46.93
Upside / Downside-55.40%-53.20%-50.91%

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