Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Aurotek Corporation (6215.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$287.72 - $339.12$317.74
Multi-Stage$187.63 - $206.26$196.77
Blended Fair Value$257.25
Current Price$102.00
Upside152.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.24%1.001.791.790.500.500.500.600.500.251.00
YoY Growth---44.44%0.00%260.00%0.00%0.00%-16.67%20.00%100.00%-75.00%66.67%
Dividend Yield--1.23%5.06%6.65%1.84%2.12%4.45%3.15%2.23%1.92%7.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9618.1010.86
Cash Retained (M)61.9961.9961.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.96-18.10-10.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.0443.9051.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.1283.1283.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.530.62
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.530.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Fair Value$287.72$317.74$339.12
Upside / Downside182.08%211.51%232.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.78150.92157.32164.00170.95178.20183.55
Payout Ratio57.18%63.75%70.31%76.87%83.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.7996.21110.61126.07142.64160.38169.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate3.24%4.24%5.24%
Year 1 PV (M)93.8694.7795.68
Year 2 PV (M)105.29107.34109.41
Year 3 PV (M)117.08120.52124.02
Year 4 PV (M)129.24134.32139.55
Year 5 PV (M)141.78148.78156.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,009.3715,750.4916,520.61
Equity Value (M)15,596.6316,356.2417,145.34
Shares Outstanding (M)83.1283.1283.12
Fair Value$187.63$196.77$206.26
Upside / Downside83.95%92.91%102.22%

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