Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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RareJob Inc. (6096.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$341.46 - $677.08$473.03
Multi-Stage$490.41 - $538.45$513.97
Blended Fair Value$493.50
Current Price$365.00
Upside35.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%12.9411.9710.759.540.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.11%11.39%12.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.55%2.76%0.98%1.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)196.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)135.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.3424.5914.75
Cash Retained (M)135.95135.95135.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.34-24.59-14.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)96.61111.36121.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.509.509.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.1711.7312.76
LTM Dividend per Share6.396.396.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.1711.7312.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.5718.1219.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Fair Value$341.46$473.03$677.08
Upside / Downside-6.45%29.60%85.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)196.68201.94207.34212.88218.58224.42231.15
Payout Ratio30.88%42.70%54.53%66.35%78.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.7486.24113.06141.25170.87201.98213.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Year 1 PV (M)80.1080.8981.68
Year 2 PV (M)97.5599.48101.43
Year 3 PV (M)113.21116.59120.03
Year 4 PV (M)127.21132.29137.52
Year 5 PV (M)139.68146.68153.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,099.914,305.544,519.33
Equity Value (M)4,657.674,881.485,113.96
Shares Outstanding (M)9.509.509.50
Fair Value$490.41$513.97$538.45
Upside / Downside34.36%40.81%47.52%

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