Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Huida Sanitary Ware Co., Ltd. (603385.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.76 - $1.03$0.89
Multi-Stage$2.27 - $2.51$2.39
Blended Fair Value$1.64
Current Price$6.48
Upside-74.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-30.17%-17.76%0.040.140.250.310.240.220.220.260.240.30
YoY Growth---73.36%-44.10%-20.22%27.25%9.84%-0.33%-12.69%6.02%-18.66%13.58%
Dividend Yield--0.58%2.25%3.04%3.46%2.09%2.06%1.97%1.88%1.64%2.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.157.594.55
Cash Retained (M)18.6018.6018.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.15-7.59-4.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.4511.0114.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)381.37381.37381.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-8.66%-7.66%-6.66%
Fair Value$0.76$0.89$1.03
Upside / Downside-88.34%-86.21%-84.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.7356.0851.7847.8144.1540.7741.99
Payout Ratio69.37%73.50%77.62%81.75%85.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.1341.2140.1939.0937.9236.6938.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-8.66%-7.66%-6.66%
Year 1 PV (M)38.1938.6139.03
Year 2 PV (M)34.5235.2836.05
Year 3 PV (M)31.1132.1433.20
Year 4 PV (M)27.9729.2130.50
Year 5 PV (M)25.0826.4827.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)710.30750.04791.54
Equity Value (M)867.17911.77958.27
Shares Outstanding (M)381.37381.37381.37
Fair Value$2.27$2.39$2.51
Upside / Downside-64.91%-63.11%-61.22%

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