Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ZHEJIANG DIBAY ELECTRIC CO.,Ltd. (603320.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.70 - $108.03$101.24
Multi-Stage$65.61 - $72.00$68.75
Blended Fair Value$84.99
Current Price$20.57
Upside313.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.14%6.65%0.120.100.210.120.100.100.110.000.020.05
YoY Growth--20.90%-51.01%81.19%16.84%2.48%-15.00%0.00%-100.00%-55.61%-27.40%
Dividend Yield--0.70%0.79%1.55%0.84%0.95%0.77%0.74%0.00%0.19%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.009.385.63
Cash Retained (M)50.0750.0750.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.00-9.38-5.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.0740.6944.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.08138.08138.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.290.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.290.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.480.50
WACC / Discount Rate1.27%1.27%1.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$91.70$101.24$108.03
Upside / Downside345.78%392.19%425.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.0179.8985.0890.6196.50102.77105.85
Payout Ratio33.25%44.60%55.95%67.30%78.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.9435.6347.6060.9875.9092.4997.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.27%1.27%1.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.8535.1835.51
Year 2 PV (M)45.5546.4247.29
Year 3 PV (M)57.0858.7260.39
Year 4 PV (M)69.4972.1674.91
Year 5 PV (M)82.8486.8491.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,769.779,193.369,633.15
Equity Value (M)9,059.599,492.689,942.26
Shares Outstanding (M)138.08138.08138.08
Fair Value$65.61$68.75$72.00
Upside / Downside218.96%234.21%250.03%

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