Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd. (603273.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.88 - $6.65$4.21
Multi-Stage$12.14 - $13.41$12.76
Blended Fair Value$8.49
Current Price$18.87
Upside-55.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS4.23%0.00%0.130.000.000.150.230.110.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13,589.35%-58.65%-98.43%-33.89%109.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.00%0.03%1.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.444.032.42
Cash Retained (M)17.2017.2017.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.44-4.03-2.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.7613.1814.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)214.47214.47214.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate2.09%2.09%2.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.88$4.21$6.65
Upside / Downside-84.74%-77.67%-64.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.2031.8831.5631.2530.9430.6331.54
Payout Ratio46.59%55.27%63.95%72.63%81.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0017.6220.1922.7025.1627.5629.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.09%2.09%2.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.0917.2617.43
Year 2 PV (M)18.9819.3719.76
Year 3 PV (M)20.6921.3321.99
Year 4 PV (M)22.2423.1624.11
Year 5 PV (M)23.6324.8626.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,501.312,631.562,767.18
Equity Value (M)2,603.942,737.542,876.62
Shares Outstanding (M)214.47214.47214.47
Fair Value$12.14$12.76$13.41
Upside / Downside-35.66%-32.36%-28.92%

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