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Definitive Analysis

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RIAMB (Beijing) Tech Dvlp Co (603082.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.00 - $203.81$103.56
Multi-Stage$23.89 - $26.11$24.98
Blended Fair Value$64.27
Current Price$39.20
Upside63.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS34.83%0.00%0.580.000.380.380.140.130.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16,780.21%-99.08%0.00%176.64%3.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%0.01%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)165.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)71.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.1820.7412.44
Cash Retained (M)71.0471.0471.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.18-20.74-12.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.8650.3058.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)161.90161.90161.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.310.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.310.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.900.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.00$103.56$203.81
Upside / Downside14.79%164.18%419.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)165.92176.70188.19200.42213.45227.32234.14
Payout Ratio57.18%63.75%70.31%76.87%83.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.87112.64132.31154.07178.09204.59216.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)103.87104.86105.84
Year 2 PV (M)112.52114.66116.82
Year 3 PV (M)120.82124.29127.82
Year 4 PV (M)128.79133.74138.84
Year 5 PV (M)136.44143.02149.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,266.073,423.833,587.62
Equity Value (M)3,868.514,044.404,226.81
Shares Outstanding (M)161.90161.90161.90
Fair Value$23.89$24.98$26.11
Upside / Downside-39.05%-36.27%-33.40%

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