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Definitive Analysis

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Beken Corporation (603068.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.49 - $0.65$0.57
Multi-Stage$0.92 - $1.02$0.97
Blended Fair Value$0.77
Current Price$43.20
Upside-98.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.02%174.70%0.070.010.210.200.370.160.001.150.000.00
YoY Growth--1,013.64%-96.99%3.61%-46.38%138.13%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.03%0.61%0.56%0.69%0.20%0.00%4.30%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.732.331.40
Cash Retained (M)15.0015.0015.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.73-2.33-1.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.2712.6713.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.63150.63150.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate-8.76%-7.76%-6.76%
Fair Value$0.49$0.57$0.65
Upside / Downside-98.86%-98.67%-98.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.6517.2015.8714.6413.5012.4512.83
Payout Ratio19.57%33.66%47.74%61.83%75.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.655.797.589.0510.2511.2111.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate-8.76%-7.76%-6.76%
Year 1 PV (M)5.225.285.34
Year 2 PV (M)6.176.306.44
Year 3 PV (M)6.656.877.09
Year 4 PV (M)6.797.107.41
Year 5 PV (M)6.707.087.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)107.15113.15119.42
Equity Value (M)138.68145.78153.17
Shares Outstanding (M)150.63150.63150.63
Fair Value$0.92$0.97$1.02
Upside / Downside-97.87%-97.76%-97.65%

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