Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

BGRIMM Technology Co., Ltd. (600980.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.19 - $24.08$15.97
Multi-Stage$8.13 - $8.88$8.50
Blended Fair Value$12.23
Current Price$23.51
Upside-47.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.03%0.00%0.080.050.040.040.020.020.080.010.000.00
YoY Growth--68.73%14.45%11.25%60.15%0.00%-69.41%977.69%180.70%118.05%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.34%0.29%0.25%0.15%0.21%0.62%0.05%0.01%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)110.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.2013.878.32
Cash Retained (M)91.5691.5691.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.20-13.87-8.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.3677.6983.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)189.24189.24189.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.19$15.97$24.08
Upside / Downside-52.39%-32.07%2.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)110.99118.20125.88134.06142.78152.06156.62
Payout Ratio17.50%32.00%46.50%61.00%75.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.4337.8358.5481.78107.80136.85144.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.0934.4134.74
Year 2 PV (M)47.5448.4549.36
Year 3 PV (M)59.8661.5763.33
Year 4 PV (M)71.1073.8476.65
Year 5 PV (M)81.3585.2889.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,244.041,304.121,366.51
Equity Value (M)1,537.971,607.671,679.94
Shares Outstanding (M)189.24189.24189.24
Fair Value$8.13$8.50$8.88
Upside / Downside-65.43%-63.87%-62.24%

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