Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yunnan Bowin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd (600883.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.57 - $30.29$14.84
Multi-Stage$3.43 - $3.75$3.58
Blended Fair Value$9.21
Current Price$8.01
Upside14.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.49%13.69%0.040.090.040.020.010.010.040.080.070.01
YoY Growth---49.53%129.02%108.55%199.10%-53.28%-64.39%-55.16%11.52%501.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.64%1.22%0.50%0.21%0.07%0.17%0.45%0.86%0.51%0.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.204.502.70
Cash Retained (M)27.3027.3027.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.20-4.50-2.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.1022.8024.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)236.26236.26236.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.57$14.84$30.29
Upside / Downside-17.99%85.22%278.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35.9838.3240.8143.4646.2849.2950.77
Payout Ratio24.13%37.31%50.48%63.65%76.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.6814.2920.6027.6635.5644.3646.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.1813.3013.43
Year 2 PV (M)17.5117.8418.18
Year 3 PV (M)21.6722.3022.93
Year 4 PV (M)25.6826.6727.69
Year 5 PV (M)29.5430.9632.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)701.66735.55770.74
Equity Value (M)809.24846.62885.40
Shares Outstanding (M)236.26236.26236.26
Fair Value$3.43$3.58$3.75
Upside / Downside-57.24%-55.26%-53.21%

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