Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Anhui Wanwei Updated High-Tech Material Industry Co.,Ltd (600063.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.95 - $51.65$42.41
Multi-Stage$7.72 - $8.46$8.09
Blended Fair Value$25.25
Current Price$6.21
Upside306.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.22%37.45%0.090.150.090.090.050.020.010.090.040.02
YoY Growth---44.35%68.18%0.00%66.67%140.00%66.67%-84.01%129.53%139.14%339.53%
Dividend Yield--1.82%3.79%1.41%1.52%1.26%0.62%0.39%2.61%0.77%0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)549.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)174.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)374.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)109.8968.6841.21
Cash Retained (M)374.73374.73374.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-109.89-68.68-41.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)264.83306.04333.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,101.602,101.602,101.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Fair Value$13.95$42.41$51.65
Upside / Downside124.69%582.85%731.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)549.46581.24614.85650.41688.03727.83749.66
Payout Ratio31.80%43.44%55.08%66.72%78.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)174.73252.49338.67433.96539.14655.04693.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Year 1 PV (M)235.16237.41239.65
Year 2 PV (M)293.77299.41305.09
Year 3 PV (M)350.60360.73371.06
Year 4 PV (M)405.68421.39437.55
Year 5 PV (M)459.06481.39504.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,487.9315,192.5815,924.39
Equity Value (M)16,232.2116,992.9117,782.32
Shares Outstanding (M)2,101.602,101.602,101.60
Fair Value$7.72$8.09$8.46
Upside / Downside24.38%30.20%36.25%

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