Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Taiwan Allied Container Terminal Corp. (5601.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.21 - $3.02$2.62
Multi-Stage$2.78 - $3.00$2.89
Blended Fair Value$2.75
Current Price$38.10
Upside-92.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.12%0.00%0.390.480.260.250.210.300.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---19.81%84.52%4.08%19.05%-30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%1.32%0.62%0.62%0.73%1.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.113.191.92
Cash Retained (M)2.882.882.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.11-3.19-1.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.24-0.320.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.3564.3564.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate15.31%15.31%15.31%
Growth Rate0.80%1.80%2.80%
Fair Value$2.21$2.62$3.02
Upside / Downside-94.21%-93.13%-92.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25.5626.0226.4826.9627.4527.9428.78
Payout Ratio88.75%89.00%89.25%89.50%89.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.6823.1523.6424.1324.6325.1526.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.31%15.31%15.31%
Growth Rate0.80%1.80%2.80%
Year 1 PV (M)19.8820.0820.28
Year 2 PV (M)17.4317.7818.13
Year 3 PV (M)15.2815.7416.20
Year 4 PV (M)13.3913.9314.49
Year 5 PV (M)11.7412.3312.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)100.92106.02111.33
Equity Value (M)178.63185.88193.38
Shares Outstanding (M)64.3564.3564.35
Fair Value$2.78$2.89$3.00
Upside / Downside-92.71%-92.42%-92.11%

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