Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CSE Global Limited (544.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.30 - $9.38$6.04
Multi-Stage$1.23 - $1.35$1.29
Blended Fair Value$3.66
Current Price$0.57
Upside548.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.57%-26.60%0.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.02
YoY Growth---55.33%20.00%0.00%0.24%0.64%-1.31%-0.27%0.00%0.00%-91.47%
Dividend Yield--2.31%5.66%5.81%4.25%3.87%5.80%3.72%5.14%3.83%4.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.664.162.50
Cash Retained (M)24.3524.3524.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.66-4.16-2.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.7020.1921.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)703.50703.50703.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Fair Value$2.30$6.04$9.38
Upside / Downside307.57%968.40%1,559.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.2935.3237.4739.7642.1844.7546.10
Payout Ratio26.84%39.47%52.11%64.74%77.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.9413.9419.5325.7432.6440.2842.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)12.9313.0513.17
Year 2 PV (M)16.7917.1117.43
Year 3 PV (M)20.5221.1121.72
Year 4 PV (M)24.1325.0626.02
Year 5 PV (M)27.6128.9530.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)764.31801.37839.85
Equity Value (M)866.29906.65948.54
Shares Outstanding (M)703.50703.50703.50
Fair Value$1.23$1.29$1.35
Upside / Downside117.95%128.10%138.64%

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