Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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4Sight Holdings Limited (4SI.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.46 - $5.21$3.49
Multi-Stage$1.89 - $2.06$1.97
Blended Fair Value$2.73
Current Price$0.64
Upside326.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420222021202020192018201720162015
DPS188.65%0.00%0.030.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%241.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.90%2.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.198.875.32
Cash Retained (M)29.8729.8729.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.19-8.87-5.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6821.0024.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)541.63541.63541.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.46$3.49$5.21
Upside / Downside283.88%444.95%714.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.9575.5680.4785.7091.2797.21100.12
Payout Ratio57.90%64.32%70.74%77.16%83.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.0848.6056.9366.1376.2987.4992.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)43.7744.1844.60
Year 2 PV (M)46.1747.0547.94
Year 3 PV (M)48.3049.6851.10
Year 4 PV (M)50.1852.1054.09
Year 5 PV (M)51.8254.3256.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)783.65821.50860.80
Equity Value (M)1,023.881,068.841,115.44
Shares Outstanding (M)541.63541.63541.63
Fair Value$1.89$1.97$2.06
Upside / Downside195.37%208.34%221.79%

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