Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

3i Infrastructure plc (3IN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.01 - $30.05$19.97
Multi-Stage$10.39 - $11.33$10.85
Blended Fair Value$15.41
Current Price$3.19
Upside383.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.26%6.66%0.120.110.110.100.090.080.070.550.070.23
YoY Growth--6.60%9.28%7.78%5.88%11.84%13.43%-86.71%646.67%-67.93%254.97%
Dividend Yield--3.84%3.53%3.36%2.80%3.10%3.32%2.63%25.53%3.87%13.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)680.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)461.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.0085.0051.00
Cash Retained (M)461.00461.00461.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.00-85.00-51.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)325.00376.00410.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)922.40922.40922.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.410.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.410.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.68
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.01$19.97$30.05
Upside / Downside339.31%526.07%841.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)680.00724.20771.27821.41874.80931.66959.61
Payout Ratio32.21%43.76%55.32%66.88%78.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)219.00316.94426.70549.38686.20838.49887.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)285.58288.29291.00
Year 2 PV (M)346.43353.03359.69
Year 3 PV (M)401.90413.43425.19
Year 4 PV (M)452.32469.71487.60
Year 5 PV (M)498.01522.06547.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,596.737,963.658,344.62
Equity Value (M)9,580.9610,010.1810,455.14
Shares Outstanding (M)922.40922.40922.40
Fair Value$10.39$10.85$11.33
Upside / Downside225.61%240.20%255.32%

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