Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HYBE Co., Ltd. (352820.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,581.17 - $12,254.26$10,383.78
Multi-Stage$13,202.45 - $14,508.23$13,842.67
Blended Fair Value$12,113.22
Current Price$309,000.00
Upside-96.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%722.670.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50,816.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,304.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,512.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,163.356,352.103,811.26
Cash Retained (M)42,512.1742,512.1742,512.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,163.35-6,352.10-3,811.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,348.8236,160.0838,700.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.3540.3540.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share801.79896.26959.24
LTM Dividend per Share205.84205.84205.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share801.79896.26959.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,007.631,102.101,165.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8,581.17$10,383.78$12,254.26
Upside / Downside-97.22%-96.64%-96.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50,816.7650,308.6049,805.5149,307.4548,814.3848,326.2449,776.02
Payout Ratio16.34%31.07%45.81%60.54%75.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,304.5915,632.7822,813.5829,849.2036,741.8243,493.6146,042.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14,131.3414,275.5414,419.73
Year 2 PV (M)18,641.7819,024.1719,410.44
Year 3 PV (M)22,048.2322,730.0823,425.85
Year 4 PV (M)24,532.8925,549.6626,597.72
Year 5 PV (M)26,251.8827,618.8829,042.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)427,053.46449,291.12472,445.66
Equity Value (M)532,659.58558,489.45585,341.64
Shares Outstanding (M)40.3540.3540.35
Fair Value$13,202.45$13,842.67$14,508.23
Upside / Downside-95.73%-95.52%-95.30%

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