Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co Ltd (301608.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.74 - $25.58$21.56
Multi-Stage$28.37 - $31.20$29.76
Blended Fair Value$25.66
Current Price$91.83
Upside-72.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.630.000.001.121.120.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.76%0.00%0.00%1.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)221.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)191.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.2727.6716.60
Cash Retained (M)191.40191.40191.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.27-27.67-16.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.12163.73174.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.9988.9988.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.651.841.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.651.841.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.992.182.30
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.74$21.56$25.58
Upside / Downside-80.68%-76.52%-72.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)221.36219.15216.96214.79212.64210.51216.83
Payout Ratio13.54%28.83%44.12%59.41%74.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9763.1895.73127.62158.86189.46200.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)57.3857.9758.55
Year 2 PV (M)78.9680.5882.22
Year 3 PV (M)95.6098.56101.58
Year 4 PV (M)108.08112.56117.18
Year 5 PV (M)117.07123.17129.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,067.592,175.262,287.36
Equity Value (M)2,524.702,648.102,776.40
Shares Outstanding (M)88.9988.9988.99
Fair Value$28.37$29.76$31.20
Upside / Downside-69.11%-67.60%-66.03%

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