Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dalian Demaishi Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (301007.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.15 - $66.16$62.00
Multi-Stage$15.08 - $16.53$15.79
Blended Fair Value$38.90
Current Price$47.61
Upside-18.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.61%18.30%0.250.160.130.040.110.040.130.090.040.04
YoY Growth--50.66%28.81%204.68%-62.53%157.10%-67.19%40.52%135.15%-1.89%-11.41%
Dividend Yield--1.18%1.09%1.01%0.24%0.37%0.14%0.44%0.31%0.13%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.276.423.85
Cash Retained (M)26.2126.2126.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.27-6.42-3.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.9419.7922.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)154.34154.34154.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate5.31%5.31%5.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.15$62.00$66.16
Upside / Downside17.94%30.22%38.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.3454.6858.2362.0266.0570.3472.45
Payout Ratio48.95%57.16%65.37%73.58%81.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.1331.2638.0745.6354.0263.3167.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.31%5.31%5.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.4029.6829.96
Year 2 PV (M)33.6934.3334.97
Year 3 PV (M)37.9839.0840.19
Year 4 PV (M)42.3043.9345.60
Year 5 PV (M)46.6348.8851.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,138.142,241.412,348.64
Equity Value (M)2,328.142,437.302,550.58
Shares Outstanding (M)154.34154.34154.34
Fair Value$15.08$15.79$16.53
Upside / Downside-68.32%-66.83%-65.29%

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