Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Xi'an Peri Power Semiconductor Converting Technology Co.,Ltd. (300831.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.50 - $0.71$0.61
Multi-Stage$0.75 - $0.82$0.78
Blended Fair Value$0.69
Current Price$14.43
Upside-95.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.86%0.00%0.020.030.030.020.040.020.020.020.050.00
YoY Growth---26.92%3.33%76.47%-51.43%125.50%-24.53%-10.30%-51.23%52,680.44%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.15%0.28%0.20%0.13%0.24%0.27%0.36%0.40%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.873.041.83
Cash Retained (M)20.9520.9520.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.87-3.04-1.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.0817.9019.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)319.89319.89319.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.50$0.61$0.71
Upside / Downside-96.52%-95.81%-95.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.3424.1023.8623.6223.3923.1523.85
Payout Ratio13.95%29.16%44.37%59.58%74.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.407.0310.5914.0717.4920.8422.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6.336.406.46
Year 2 PV (M)8.598.778.94
Year 3 PV (M)10.2910.6110.93
Year 4 PV (M)11.5211.9912.48
Year 5 PV (M)12.3613.0013.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)189.80199.68209.97
Equity Value (M)238.88250.44262.46
Shares Outstanding (M)319.89319.89319.89
Fair Value$0.75$0.78$0.82
Upside / Downside-94.83%-94.57%-94.31%

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