Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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EIT Environmental Development Group Co.,Ltd (300815.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92.79 - $254.77$238.75
Multi-Stage$35.81 - $39.19$37.47
Blended Fair Value$138.11
Current Price$26.61
Upside419.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.96%0.00%0.340.570.270.500.170.100.080.020.010.01
YoY Growth---40.80%109.31%-45.23%191.95%66.47%24.61%321.07%83.33%-0.53%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.01%4.21%1.96%3.02%0.49%0.26%0.47%0.11%0.06%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)510.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)197.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)313.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.1563.8538.31
Cash Retained (M)313.24313.24313.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.15-63.85-38.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)211.08249.39274.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.71398.71398.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.630.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.630.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.121.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$92.79$238.75$254.77
Upside / Downside248.70%797.24%857.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)510.77543.97579.33616.98657.09699.80720.79
Payout Ratio38.67%48.94%59.20%69.47%79.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)197.53266.21342.99428.62523.93629.82666.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)247.23249.58251.92
Year 2 PV (M)295.83301.46307.15
Year 3 PV (M)343.33353.18363.23
Year 4 PV (M)389.75404.74420.16
Year 5 PV (M)435.13456.14477.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,567.5213,174.5413,804.79
Equity Value (M)14,278.7914,939.6515,625.21
Shares Outstanding (M)398.71398.71398.71
Fair Value$35.81$37.47$39.19
Upside / Downside34.58%40.81%47.27%

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