Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tianjin MOTIMO Membrane Technology Co.,Ltd (300334.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.49 - $0.69$0.59
Multi-Stage$4.32 - $4.82$4.57
Blended Fair Value$2.58
Current Price$7.03
Upside-63.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-33.49%-8.02%0.020.100.080.110.120.160.000.110.110.08
YoY Growth---78.49%21.93%-29.51%-3.25%-27.25%0.00%-100.00%0.73%38.43%71.93%
Dividend Yield--0.35%1.55%0.94%1.13%1.83%2.09%0.00%0.95%0.70%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.853.031.82
Cash Retained (M)14.4314.4314.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.85-3.03-1.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.5711.3912.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)299.12299.12299.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.08
WACC / Discount Rate1.99%1.99%1.99%
Growth Rate-10.02%-9.02%-8.02%
Fair Value$0.49$0.59$0.69
Upside / Downside-93.08%-91.65%-90.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.2722.0820.0918.2816.6315.1315.59
Payout Ratio40.56%50.45%60.34%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.8411.1412.1212.8413.3213.6214.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.99%1.99%1.99%
Growth Rate-10.02%-9.02%-8.02%
Year 1 PV (M)10.8010.9211.04
Year 2 PV (M)11.4011.6511.91
Year 3 PV (M)11.7112.1012.50
Year 4 PV (M)11.7812.3112.86
Year 5 PV (M)11.6812.3413.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,236.161,306.391,379.78
Equity Value (M)1,293.531,365.731,441.14
Shares Outstanding (M)299.12299.12299.12
Fair Value$4.32$4.57$4.82
Upside / Downside-38.49%-35.05%-31.47%

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