Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

BIONET Corp. (1784.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.92 - $275.36$92.92
Multi-Stage$28.83 - $31.50$30.14
Blended Fair Value$61.53
Current Price$79.40
Upside-22.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS20.01%0.00%0.660.650.470.170.120.260.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.62%38.74%168.17%47.60%-55.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.78%1.10%1.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)69.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.968.735.24
Cash Retained (M)36.6636.6636.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.96-8.73-5.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.7027.9431.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.4250.4250.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.550.62
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.550.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.111.211.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.89%7.89%7.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$48.92$92.92$275.36
Upside / Downside-38.38%17.02%246.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)69.8274.3579.1984.3389.8295.6598.52
Payout Ratio47.49%55.99%64.49%72.99%81.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.1541.6351.0761.5673.2086.0991.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.89%7.89%7.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)38.2238.5938.95
Year 2 PV (M)43.0543.8744.70
Year 3 PV (M)47.6549.0250.41
Year 4 PV (M)52.0254.0256.08
Year 5 PV (M)56.1858.8961.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,216.551,275.311,336.32
Equity Value (M)1,453.691,519.711,588.18
Shares Outstanding (M)50.4250.4250.42
Fair Value$28.83$30.14$31.50
Upside / Downside-63.69%-62.04%-60.33%

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