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Definitive Analysis

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DRB Industrial Co., Ltd. (163560.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,140.54 - $29,429.44$15,928.39
Multi-Stage$10,764.27 - $11,803.11$11,273.95
Blended Fair Value$13,601.17
Current Price$7,450.00
Upside82.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.25%16.73%149.29119.4379.6297.7495.5983.7872.4070.2951.0849.41
YoY Growth--25.00%50.00%-18.53%2.25%14.10%15.70%3.02%37.59%3.39%55.41%
Dividend Yield--2.16%1.49%1.29%1.35%1.04%2.00%1.13%0.96%0.53%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,778.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,085.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,693.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,155.74722.34433.40
Cash Retained (M)3,693.683,693.683,693.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,155.74-722.34-433.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,537.952,971.353,260.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.9713.9713.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share181.72212.76233.45
LTM Dividend per Share149.29149.29149.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share181.72212.76233.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend331.02362.05382.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Fair Value$10,140.54$15,928.39$29,429.44
Upside / Downside36.11%113.80%295.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,778.686,019.646,270.656,532.136,804.517,088.257,300.90
Payout Ratio36.08%46.86%57.65%68.43%79.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,085.002,821.093,614.944,470.095,390.276,379.426,753.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)2,622.562,647.972,673.39
Year 2 PV (M)3,124.043,184.903,246.34
Year 3 PV (M)3,591.203,696.643,804.13
Year 4 PV (M)4,025.714,184.074,347.06
Year 5 PV (M)4,429.154,648.014,875.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)132,540.10139,089.22145,894.72
Equity Value (M)150,332.75157,450.82164,841.07
Shares Outstanding (M)13.9713.9713.97
Fair Value$10,764.27$11,273.95$11,803.11
Upside / Downside44.49%51.33%58.43%

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